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Archive for the Weather Category

A Case Against Precipitous Climate Action

The Global Warming Policy Foundation
Saturday, 15 January 2011 10:37

A Case Against Precipitous Climate Action

By Richard S Lindzen*

The notion of a static, unchanging climate is foreign to the history of the earth or any other planet with a fluid envelope. The fact that the developed world went into hysterics over changes in global mean temperature anomaly of a few tenths of a degree will astound future generations. Such hysteria simply represents the scientific illiteracy of much of the public, the susceptibility of the public to the substitution of repetition for truth, and the exploitation of these weaknesses by politicians, environmental promoters, and, after 20 years of media drum beating, many others as well. Climate is always changing. We have had ice ages and warmer periods when alligators were found in Spitzbergen. Ice ages have occurred in a hundred thousand year cycle for the last 700 thousand years, and there have been previous periods that appear to have been warmer than the present despite CO2 levels being lower than they are now. More recently, we have had the medieval warm period and the little ice age. During the latter, alpine glaciers advanced to the chagrin of overrun villages. Since the beginning of the 19th Century these glaciers have been retreating. Frankly, we don’t fully understand either the advance or the retreat….(Full Story)

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* Richard Lindzen is the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a member of the GWPF’s Academic Advisory Council

Note (2011 01 22): Richard Lindzen mentions the term adiabatic in his discussion paper and makes an important point relating to it.  The meaning of adiabatic relates to the presence of localized warming or cooling, or the lack of mixing across the boundaries, of adjacent parcels of air and is explained in this definition: An Adiabatic versus a Diabatic Process, by meteorologist Jeff Haby.

Black is white, and warmer means colder

eureferendum.blogspot.com

Total eclipse of the Moonbat

Posted by Richard Tuesday, December 21, 2010

The foolish Moonbat, along with his colleagues is plumbing new depths of stupidity, insisting in the loathsome Guardian that the “unusually cold winters” are caused by global warming….(More….)

Climate Distortions Were Achieved

Canada Free Press
2010 12 13

Climate Distortions Were Achieved. National Weather Agencies Are The Trojan Horses

By Dr. Tim Ball

imageMaurice Strong set up the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) through the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) to provide a powerful vehicle for almost complete control of climate science. Each national weather office perpetuates the deception that human CO2 is causing climate change. He controlled the science through the IPCC and the political and propaganda portion under the umbrella of the Rio Conference (1992) and the ongoing Conference of the Parties (COP). By peopling the IPCC with representatives of national weather offices, he attained control of the politics within each nation and collective global control. They’re the Trojan Horses  from which funding and research emanate to deceive the politicians and public into achieving his goal of destroying the industrialized nations. …(Full Story)

Fear-mongering of global warming is over?

Is this a sign of worse things to come?  The UK Met Office won’t tell.  They no longer issue long range forecasts, ever since their forecasts of snow being a thing of the past and of nothing but BBQ summers to come did not pan out.

Is it satisfactory to be able to spend tens of millions of taxpayers money and not having to be accountable for the quality of one’s work?

From the UK Met Office:

Big chill breaks November temperature records

28 November 2010

Snowy road

Last night saw November minimum temperature records fall across the country.  Most notably both Wales and Northern Ireland recorded the coldest November night since records began. In Wales, temperatures fell to -18.0 °C at Llysdinam, near Llandrindod Wells, Powys. Northern Ireland recorded -9.5 °C at Loch Fea.

Scotland recorded minimum temperature of -15.3 °C at Loch Glascarnoch, whilst England recorded -13.5 °C at Topcliffe in North Yorkshire.

The UK’s lowest ever recorded temperature in November was -23.3 °C recorded in Braemar, in the Scottish Highlands, on 14 November 1919….(Full Story)

Town of Bruderheim website finally back in operation

After about three years of being out of order and following numerous announcements over time that the Bruderheim Town Office’s website would be back in operation “soon” or “within about four weeks from now,” the Town Office’s new website is finally in operation again.

The website looks good and is user-friendly.  It will most certainly attract visitors to Bruderheim and new residents for our town.

The Town Office’s website now presents a very good tool that the old website did not have, a site-specific search-input field that makes it a breeze to find subjects or topics that may not easily or readily be found by using the various links and lists provided in numerous menus throughout the website. (Check the upper, right-hand corner of the page header of each of the site’s web pages.)

It is great to see our town having an official website again.

A quick look through the website reveals only one flaw that is not even obvious but is nevertheless a misrepresentation.  The Bruderheim temperature shown on the home page is not measured in Bruderheim but in Elk Island National Park, about 14km away and at an elevation that is about 84m higher than the parking lot in front of the Town Office. There is not much the Town-Office staff can do to fix that.  That is a problem that needs to be resolved through cooperation between The Weather Network and the Fort Air Partnership.

Temperature measurements for Fort Saskatchewan area

The following message was sent today to the Fort Air Partnership (and a pertinent portion of it to The Weather Network):

Hello Fort Air Partnership,

Just now I came back to your website to look for the current conditions in Bruderheim, after I had been trying in vain to find them before on some of your web pages.

Some of the problems I encountered some time ago still persist.  It appears that your website does not cater very well to the FireFox web browser.  A substantial portion of Internet users employs FireFox.  You should have your web-designer address that.

It has been a while since the Bruderheim monitoring site had been set up.  You should have your web designer add a menu option for Bruderheim (Site #49) on the following web pages:

The addition of something like the following line is required in your source code for the station list:

<a href=“airquality_data.asp”>Site 49: Bruderheim</a><br>

A suggestion for your relationship with The Weather Network

The Weather Network derives its current temperature values for Bruderheim, Lamont, Chipman and Saint Michael from the weather station at Elk Island National Park.

Perhaps it would be a good idea to inform the Weather Network of the fact that a temperature display for Bruderheim should more appropriately be derived from local measurements that are being taken at your site #49 in Bruderheim.

Something similar should be done for Fort Saskatchewan.  Surely you can do better in cooperation with the Weather Network.

The current temperature values that are being displayed by The Weather Network for Fort Saskatchewan are being measured at Oliver.  Could one consider that to be more than a bit odd, perhaps in need of a cure? (See Note to the uninitiated)

The suggested improvements would increase the credibility of the Weather Network, while at the same time they could elevate the visibility of your website.

Regards,

Walter Schneider
http://folc.ca

Cc: Some Bruderheim, Lamont and Saint Michael residents; Lamont Leader; The Weather Network

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Note to the uninitiated: Although the weather station at Oliver is located within the boundaries of the City of Edmonton, it is located on the site of an agricultural research facility, quite some distance removed from the city of Fort Saskatchewan.  The closest neighbour to the agricultural research facility is a mental health hospital just across the road from the agricultural research facility.

Arctic Ice Melt, Temperature Scare and the Facts

Thanks to ICECAP:

Hawaii Reporter, Tuesday September 21, 2010

Questioning the Arctic Ice Melt and Temperature Scare

BY JACK DINI –Whatever we hear about the Arctic these days we should keep in mind that most information is based on satellite measurements of Arctic sea ice since 1979. With a little over thirty years of data many scientists and environmentalists use decreases in Arctic sea ice as a sure sign of man-made global warming. A little over thirty years of data is hardly a blink of an eyelid in terms of geological time. As Richard Lindzen, a prominent global warming skeptic and professor at MIT puts it, “this is a primitive field where nobody has much idea of anything.” (1)

There are some other issues that cloud the temperature data from the Arctic. They include an expanded definition of ‘Arctic,’ extrapolations rather than accurate temperature measurements, and the simple fact that the Arctic has been warmer in previous times….(Full Story)

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I know, I know. What does someone from Hawaii know about the Arctic?!  Well, perhaps he is far enough away from it to be able to take in the view of the whole forest instead of just being fascinated by a few trees.  Besides, he is a reporter who presents the findings of quite a few well-known and well-respected climate scientists.

Certainly, those scientists are skeptical of the veracity of politically-correct climate alarmism, but are they wrong just because they still have open minds and objectively report the facts, all of the facts and nothing but the facts?

A note about the article by Jack Dini.  It does contain one misperception:

GISS estimates its Arctic temperatures from land-based thermometers that each supposedly represents the temperatures over 1200 square kilometers.” (3)

Although quoted correctly from the source article, that statement is incorrect. It should read: “GISS estimates its Arctic temperatures from land-based thermometers that each supposedly represents the temperatures for a distance (or for a radius) of 1200 kilometers.”  That is the distance from the southern boundary of Idaho to Edmonton, from Kansas City to Winnipeg, or from Atlanta to Toronto. (More at GISS Polar Interpolation)

Aside from that, it is now coming to the end of September.  A lot of the crops in this part of Alberta are still standing and far more of them have not yet been combined.  After the late seeding we had this year and the cool summer to boot, there was not much global warming this year.  We sure could use some of that global warming.

Read more about the climate as it is.

UK baby boom blamed on cold winter

The Independent

Baby boom blamed on cold winter

PA

Wednesday, 25 August 2010

independent midwife Joy Horner, of Birth Joy, said bad winters often led to baby booms.

She told the Portsmouth News: “We do see a rise in conception rates when there’s been severe weather. The weather does have an impact.

“The snow could definitely be the reason for the baby boom next month.

“If you can not get out of your house, you’ve got to find some way to keep yourself occupied.”….

Full story: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/this-britain/baby-boom-blamed-on-cold-winter-2061676.html

___________________
Save the environment.  Shower with a friend.

–Walter
http://lce.folc.ca

Canada’s weather-service programs need repair

Financial Post

Mike De Souza, Postmedia News · Monday, Aug. 23, 2010

OTTAWA — Sustained cuts to Environment Canada weather-service programs have compromised the government’s ability to assess climate change and left it with a “profoundly disturbing” quality of information in its data network, says a newly released internal government report.The stinging assessment, obtained through an access-to-information request, suggests that Canada’s climate network infrastructure is getting progressively worse and no longer meets international guidelines.

“Environment Canada is on the road to junior partner status with respect to other agencies, both provincial and international, in the area of climate data gathering, quality control and archiving,” said the report, released to the Pembina Institute, an Alberta-based environmental research group.

The analysis — Degradation in Environment Canada’s Climate Network, Quality Control and Data Storage Practices: A Call to Repair the Damage — noted the lack of data on climate conditions can affect decisions on major infrastructure such as roads, buildings and sewers as well as a number of “real-life” decisions made by Canadians every day….

Full Story

It is a good thing that the Pembina Institute made the Freedom of Information Act request, because very few of the rest of us mortals can.  However, the Pembina Institute puts its own political spin on the causes of the calamity by blaming Stephen Harper and his party instead of John Chretien and the Liberal Party, the real culprit responsible for the budget cuts, while the elephant in the room goes unnoticed.

Perhaps the report contained no information on what the elephant is.  If so, it is amazing that neither the author of the Financial Post article nor the Pembina Institute were sufficiently astute to notice the biggest problem of all, which is that the vast majority of Canada’s weather stations that once regularly reported on weather conditions now no longer exists.

One could argue that weather satellites eliminated the need for ground-based temperature measurements, but that would be far too simple a reaction. Weather satellites do not measure local conditions such as rainfall-and snowfall amounts, wind-speed and -direction, relative humidity and hours of sunshine — all absolute necessary not only for climate change modelling but also for accurately forecasting the weather.

The deterioration of the weather services programs was not only caused on account of automation, as claimed in the report, but primarily on account of closing down hundreds and perhaps thousands of weather stations.  That was done many years before Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party of Canada made it into Ottawa and even before the Conservative Party of Canada even came into existence.  The fault for the severe cutbacks to the data-collection network lies squarely with the Liberal Party.  It did not happen by accident.  It happened because it was a deliberate policy of the Liberal government.

Have a look at some pertinent comments on the report (at wattsupwiththat.com)

One of those comments (the first on the list) was made by a Canadian weather forecaster.  It seems to be obvious that no other commenters either at the FP article or at the wattsupwithtthat.com posting have any appreciation of what is necessary to produce accurate weatherforecasts.  It even seems that most of the commenters see no need for accurate weather forecasts, which makes me wonder why they bother to comment on the article except to complain that funding for weather-forecasting is a waste of money.

Many of the commenters see the Environment Canada report as a cry to stimulate more funding, somewhat justifiably surmising that the bureaucrats responsible falsely feel that if we only throw more money at the problem, the quality of  the data produced by the Canadian weather services programs will be improved.  It is very doubtful that will any improvement will happen, although all extra funding will doubtlessly be used up.  After all, Environment Canada’s size grew within a relatively short time from an office with with about 15 employees to become a large employer with a workforce that grew to very large proportions.

Environment Canada is a federal government department with approximately 4,700 employees located in 100 communities. (Source: Environment Canada, “What We Do: Key Facts and Figures,” About Us, 31 March 2003, <http://www.ec.gc.ca/introec/keyfacts.htm> , 13 May 2004)

The Wikipedia entry for Environment Canada presently shows an employment figure of ~6,000, although I have no idea how old that figures is, while it seems to me that not very long ago I read an article that put the total number of Environment Canada employees at 10,000.  Darn it, I did not bookmark that.

Regardless of how much money is being thrown at that problem, even with the best intentions, the quality of the data outputs of the weather service programs cannot be better than the quality of the data that is being input: garbage in = garbage out.

Deadly aftermath of South-American cold spell

All of South America experienced a very harsh cold spell in mid-July that killed more than 400 people (mostly children), much life stock and many alpacas. (See Historical Cold Snap Freezes South America, July 21, 2010)

Now another consequence of the extreme cold spell emerges.

BoliviaBella.com

1 Million Fish Dead in Bolivian Ecological Disaster

(3 Aug. 2010 - Update: The number of dead fish and other water-dependent wildlife has increased to about 6 million.)

Over 1 million fish and thousands of alligators, turtles, dolphins and other river wildlife are floating dead in numerous Bolivian rivers in the three eastern/southern departments of Santa Cruz, Beni and Tarija. The extreme cold front that hit Bolivia in mid-July caused water temperatures to dip below the minimum temperatures river life can tolerate. As a consequence, rivers, lakes, lagoons and fisheries are brimming with decomposing fish and other creatures….(Full Story — make sure to watch the video at the end of the article)

It would be surprising if the fish-die-off would not affect other South-American nations as well.

The mainstream media in the anglo-sphere kept totally silent on the ecological disaster and instead continued all along with raising alarm about catastrophic man-made global warming.